Prediction Markets

What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?

Software/config error

SMART system

$486,785 vol

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Howard Lutnick

Kevin Hassett

$7,281,538 vol

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Ben Ferguson

Scott Jennings

$12,495,923 vol

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

Before Mar 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

$116,219 vol

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

$3,241,749 vol

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?

Yes

No

$169,289 vol

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/8-11/14)

<60

60-79

$190,841 vol

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?

5 or more

4

$257,115 vol

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

$69,804 vol

Will the House impeach Trump?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

$5,495,216 vol

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

$8,450,121 vol

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Howard Lutnick

Pete Hegseth

$56,735 vol

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Yes

No

$940,795 vol

How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026?

At least 30

At least 35

$67,531 vol

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

Below 36%

Below 35.5%

$374,237 vol

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (11/8-11/14)

At least 6

At least 7

$143,604 vol

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

$898,263 vol

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman

Peter Thiel

$314,451 vol

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

$484,553 vol

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Dan Caine

Mike Huckabee

$16,235 vol

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals

Not nine justices

$48,884 vol

Will Trump resign during his term?

Yes

No

$799,087 vol

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

Larry Householder

Leonard Glenn Francis

$653,627 vol

When will Trump golf this weekend? (11/13-11/15)

Not this weekend (Nov 13-15)

Nov 14

$6,761 vol

Will Trump be impeached during his term?

Yes

No

$886,608 vol

Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 14, 2026?

38.6%

38.5%

$7,550 vol

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Before Dec 25, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

$501,943 vol

Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

$186,340 vol

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Yes

No

$3,578,392 vol

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Nov 2026?

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Chuck Schumer

$43,388 vol

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Before his term ends

Before Jan 1, 2028

$1,019,703 vol

Will Trump declare a national emergency?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

$12,073 vol

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